{"id":99870,"date":"2025-05-21T10:16:53","date_gmt":"2025-05-21T16:16:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/losperiodistas.com.mx\/portal\/?p=99870"},"modified":"2025-05-21T10:16:54","modified_gmt":"2025-05-21T16:16:54","slug":"sin-elementos-para-determinar-que-ha-iniciado-una-recesion-comite-de-fechado-de-ciclos-economicos-el-economista","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/losperiodistas.com.mx\/portal\/sin-elementos-para-determinar-que-ha-iniciado-una-recesion-comite-de-fechado-de-ciclos-economicos-el-economista\/","title":{"rendered":"Sin elementos para determinar que ha iniciado una recesi\u00f3n: Comit\u00e9 de Fechado de Ciclos Econ\u00f3micos | El Economista"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\">Hasta ahora, el Comit\u00e9 de Fechado ha identificados seis recesiones y cinco ciclos econ\u00f3micos completos de 1980 al a\u00f1o 2020<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"853\" height=\"480\" src=\"https:\/\/losperiodistas.com.mx\/portal\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/66e4d9de797fd.jpg\" alt=\"Panor\u00e1mica de la Ciudad de M\u00e9xico. Foto: Shutterstock\" class=\"wp-image-99872\" srcset=\"https:\/\/losperiodistas.com.mx\/portal\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/66e4d9de797fd.jpg 853w, https:\/\/losperiodistas.com.mx\/portal\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/66e4d9de797fd-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/losperiodistas.com.mx\/portal\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/66e4d9de797fd-768x432.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 853px) 100vw, 853px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Panor\u00e1mica de la Ciudad de M\u00e9xico. Foto: Shutterstock<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-vivid-red-color has-text-color has-link-color has-medium-font-size wp-elements-bb5df275504c2baa3f27a3513313c98c\"><strong>Por:\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.eleconomista.com.mx\/autor\/yolanda.morales\">Yolanda Morales<\/a> \/ El Economista<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A\u00fan no se cuenta con elementos suficientes para determinar \u201csin lugar a duda\u201d, la existencia de un punto de giro que marque el fin de la fase expansiva de la econom\u00eda, inform\u00f3 el&nbsp;<strong>Comit\u00e9 de Fechado de Ciclos Econ\u00f3micos<\/strong>&nbsp;de M\u00e9xico.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>En un comunicado precisaron que \u201cel Comit\u00e9 se reuni\u00f3 el pasado 5 de mayo para deliberar respecto de si los indicadores disponibles permiten identificar un nuevo punto de giro que marque el fin de la fase expansiva iniciada en junio de 2020 y&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.eleconomista.com.mx\/economia\/mexico-libra-recesion-tecnica-registrar-crecimiento-0-2-primer-trimestre-20250430-757073.html\">el inicio de una recesi\u00f3n<\/a>\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Te puede interesar<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"128\" height=\"72\" src=\"https:\/\/imagenes.eleconomista.com.mx\/files\/image_128_72\/uploads\/2025\/05\/20\/682cec798002c.jpeg\" alt=\"Es muy probable que la econom\u00eda mexicana se contraiga en el segundo trimestre de 2025, adem\u00e1s de que contin\u00faa la expectativa de que la actividad econ\u00f3mica caiga este a\u00f1o por factores como la elecci\u00f3n judicial y los aranceles de Donald Trump, advirti\u00f3 el IMEF.\n\nPara m\u00e1s informaci\u00f3n del tema, visita:https:\/\/www.eleconomista.com.mx\/economia\/imef-economia-mexicana-contraeria-segundo-trimestre-efecto-gusano-barrenador-20250520-759904.html\n\n\u00a1S\u00edguenos en nuestras redes sociales para mantenerte informado!\n\nTwitter: https:\/\/twitter.com\/eleconomista \nFacebook: https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/ElEconomista.mx\nInstagram: https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/eleconomistamx\nLinkedIn: https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/company\/el-economista\/\n\n#ElEconomista #EETV\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.eleconomista.com.mx\/economia\">Econom\u00eda<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.eleconomista.com.mx\/economia\/imef-economia-mexicana-contraeria-segundo-trimestre-efecto-gusano-barrenador-20250520-759904.html\">Econom\u00eda se contraer\u00eda en segundo trimestre de 2025, advierte el IMEF<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"128\" height=\"72\" src=\"https:\/\/imagenes.eleconomista.com.mx\/files\/image_128_72\/uploads\/2025\/05\/20\/682ce04d48844.png\" alt=\"Los hogares mexicanos tienen ahorros suficientes para afrontar una recesi\u00f3n, en caso de que ocurra, consider\u00f3 Rodrigo Mariscal Paredes, jefe de la Unidad de Planeaci\u00f3n Econ\u00f3mica de la Secretar\u00eda de Hacienda y Cr\u00e9dito P\u00fablico.\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.eleconomista.com.mx\/economia\">Econom\u00eda<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.eleconomista.com.mx\/economia\/hogares-mexicanos-ahorros-suficientes-afrontar-recesion-shcp-20250520-759889.html\">Hogares mexicanos tienen ahorros suficientes para afrontar una recesi\u00f3n: SHCP<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\nhttps:\/\/geo.dailymotion.com\/player\/x9ws1.html?playlist=x7lrcy&#038;mute=true\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Tras realizar la primera de dos reuniones programadas en el a\u00f1o, los economistas notables que forman parte del Comit\u00e9&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.eleconomista.com.mx\/economia\/Indicador-IMEF-dos-decadas-anticipando-ciclos-economicos-20240905-0119.html\">auspiciado por el IMEF<\/a>, refirieron que para determinar una fase expansiva o recesiva, toman en consideraci\u00f3n tres criterios: difusi\u00f3n, que es la tendencia compartida por la mayor\u00eda de las actividades econ\u00f3micas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>La duraci\u00f3n, que es la direcci\u00f3n de que se mantenga por un tiempo suficiente as\u00ed como la profundidad, que significa el nivel de cambio en la actividad econ\u00f3mica.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Hasta ahora, el Comit\u00e9 de Fechado&nbsp;<strong>ha identificados seis recesiones&nbsp;<\/strong>y cinco ciclos econ\u00f3micos completos de 1980 al a\u00f1o 2020<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"768\" height=\"336\" src=\"https:\/\/losperiodistas.com.mx\/portal\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/682df2b5a8113.png\" alt=\".\" class=\"wp-image-99873\" srcset=\"https:\/\/losperiodistas.com.mx\/portal\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/682df2b5a8113.png 768w, https:\/\/losperiodistas.com.mx\/portal\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/682df2b5a8113-300x131.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 768px) 100vw, 768px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>El Comit\u00e9 para el fechado de Ciclos Econ\u00f3micos naci\u00f3 tras un llamado del Instituto Nacional de Estad\u00edstica y Geograf\u00eda (<strong>INEGI<\/strong>) y qued\u00f3 instalado en mayo de 2021 con la encomienda de identificar los puntos de giro, auge y depresiones de la actividad econ\u00f3mica; el ciclo de negocios as\u00ed como la profundidad de cada fase y para dotarle de neutralidad en sus an\u00e1lisis qued\u00f3 auspiciado por el IMEF.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>INFORMACI\u00d3N EN PROCESO&#8230;<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Fuente: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.eleconomista.com.mx\/economia\/elementos-determinar-iniciado-recesion-comite-fechado-ciclos-economicos-20250521-760068.html\">https:\/\/www.eleconomista.com.mx\/economia\/elementos-determinar-iniciado-recesion-comite-fechado-ciclos-economicos-20250521-760068.html<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Hasta ahora, el Comit\u00e9 de Fechado ha identificados seis recesiones y cinco ciclos econ\u00f3micos completos de 1980 al a\u00f1o 2020 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":99871,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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